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Bank Financial Statements

Chapter 11 · Part 11 — Other Disclosures and Exposure Concentration

Concentration of credit, deposits and borrowings

The risk that appears in no other ratio, and the two calculations that reframe a bank's liquidity and capital.

38 of 51 · 10 min

Concentration of Credit exposures

Simple definition. How much the bank has lent to its twenty biggest borrowers.

The disclosure.

SN  Particulars                          Current Quarter    Current Quarter
                                         (this period)      (prior period)
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
    Total exposure to twenty largest borrowers
a.  As per Group (related party)          48,311,844,005     46,390,007,244
b.  As per Individual customer            17,392,478,635     17,113,863,047

    Percentage of exposures to twenty largest borrowers
    to Total Loans and Advances
a.  As per Group (related party)                  18.03%             17.73%
b.  As per Individual customer                     6.49%              6.54%

Decoding the two measures — this is the crucial part

┌──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  (a) "AS PER GROUP (RELATED PARTY)"  —  18.03%                   │
│                                                                  │
│      Exposures aggregated by BORROWER GROUP: a parent company    │
│      plus its subsidiaries, affiliates and commonly-controlled    │
│      entities are counted as ONE exposure.                        │
│                                                                  │
│      → This is the ECONOMICALLY MEANINGFUL measure.              │
│        If the parent fails, the whole group typically fails.     │
├──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│  (b) "AS PER INDIVIDUAL CUSTOMER"    —   6.49%                   │
│                                                                  │
│      Each legal entity counted separately.                       │
│                                                                  │
│      → UNDERSTATES true concentration, because a business        │
│        group split across ten companies looks like ten           │
│        unrelated borrowers.                                      │
└──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

THE GAP:  18.03% − 6.49% = 11.54 percentage points
          48,311,844,005 ÷ 17,392,478,635 = 2.78×

⇒ Group-level exposure is nearly THREE TIMES individual-level.
  Nepal's economy is dominated by large family-owned business
  GROUPS operating through many legal entities. Measuring by
  individual customer would badly understate the risk.

Quantifying the risk

Total exposure to 20 largest borrower groups   NPR 48,311,844,005
                                             = NPR      48.31 billion

Compare against the bank's loss-absorbing capacity:

Total equity (Bank)                            NPR 38,059,771 thousand
                                             = NPR      38.06 billion

⇒ The twenty largest borrower groups owe MORE than the
  bank's ENTIRE EQUITY — 1.27× total equity.

Put differently: if those twenty groups defaulted with a
50% loss given default:
    48.31bn × 50% = NPR 24.2 billion of loss
    against equity of NPR 38.06 billion
⇒ would consume 64% of the bank's entire capital base.

The trend.

                     This period   Prior period   Direction
Group basis            18.03%        17.73%       ▲ WORSE
Individual basis        6.49%         6.54%       ▼ marginally better
Absolute (group)      48.31bn       46.39bn       ▲ +4.1%

Concentration on the meaningful measure increased. In a year when NPL rose from 4.11% to 4.91%, rising concentration compounds the risk.

Cross-reference to segment reporting. Part 9.4 showed Corporate assets growing NPR 16.2 billion while yield fell 165bp. Rising large-borrower concentration is consistent with that: the bank grew by lending more to large groups at thinner spreads.

Related terms. Part 1.7 · Part 6.2 · Part 9.4 · Part 10.8

Total exposure to twenty largest borrowers

The headline figure: NPR 48,311,844,005 on the group (related party) basis; NPR 17,392,478,635 on the individual customer basis.

Full analysis at 11.11.

Concentration of Deposits

Simple definition. How much of the bank's funding comes from its twenty biggest depositors.

The disclosure.

SN  Particulars                          Current Quarter    Prior period
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
    Total Deposits from twenty largest depositors
a.  Group wise                            69,332,976,322    70,081,302,652
b.  As per Individual Customer            69,332,976,322    70,081,302,652

    Percentage of deposits from twenty largest depositors
    to Total Deposits
a.  Group wise                                    21.80%            23.32%
b.  As per Individual Customer                    21.80%            23.32%

Why deposit concentration is the more dangerous concentration

┌──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  CREDIT CONCENTRATION vs DEPOSIT CONCENTRATION                    │
│                                                                  │
│  A large BORROWER defaulting:                                    │
│    • Painful, but SLOW — you see it coming through arrears,      │
│      downgrades, restructuring requests                          │
│    • Absorbed by capital over time                               │
│    • You can provision progressively                             │
│                                                                  │
│  A large DEPOSITOR withdrawing:                                  │
│    • IMMEDIATE — the money leaves on the value date              │
│    • No warning required                                         │
│    • Must be met from LIQUID ASSETS, not capital                 │
│    • Can cascade: one large withdrawal triggers others           │
│                                                                  │
│  ⇒ Credit concentration threatens SOLVENCY over years.           │
│    Deposit concentration threatens LIQUIDITY in days.            │
└──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

The calculation every analyst should run

Deposits from 20 largest depositors     NPR 69,332,976,322
                                      = NPR      69.33 billion
                                      =           21.80% of deposits

Liquidity available to meet a withdrawal:

Liquidity Ratio (NLA)                            28.99%  (Part 6.16)
Total deposits                          NPR 315,118,455 thousand
Implied net liquid assets ≈ 315,118,455 × 28.99%
                                      ≈ NPR  91,353,840 thousand
                                      ≈ NPR      91.35 billion

╔══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
║   Net liquid assets                    NPR 91.35 billion         ║
║   Top 20 depositors                    NPR 69.33 billion         ║
║                                        ──────────────────        ║
║   Coverage                                      1.32×            ║
║                                                                  ║
║   ⇒ If the twenty largest depositors ALL withdrew                ║
║     simultaneously, the bank's entire liquid asset               ║
║     buffer would cover them 1.32 times — leaving                 ║
║     roughly NPR 22 billion of liquidity for the                  ║
║     other 78% of depositors.                                     ║
╚══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝

The good news — the trend improved.

                     This period   Prior period   Direction
Concentration          21.80%        23.32%       ▼ BETTER (−1.52pp)
Absolute              69.33bn       70.08bn       ▼ −1.1%

Meanwhile total deposits GREW 13.1%.

⇒ The bank grew deposits NPR 36.75 billion while its twenty
  largest depositors' balances FELL NPR 0.75 billion.
  ALL the growth came from a broader base.

⇒ That is genuinely high-quality deposit growth, and it is
  the single most positive finding in Part 11.

Nepali context. Large institutional depositors in Nepal include the Employees Provident Fund, Citizen Investment Trust, insurance companies, government bodies and large corporates. These are rate-sensitive and move money between banks for yield — which makes them less sticky than retail deposits and is precisely why concentration among them matters.

Related terms. Part 1.21 · Part 6.6 CD Ratio · Part 6.16 Liquidity Ratio (NLA) · Part 10.1

Total Deposits from twenty largest depositors

The headline figure: NPR 69,332,976,322, identical on both group and individual bases, down from NPR 70,081,302,652.

Full analysis at 11.13.

Concentration: the complete picture

╔══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
║  NMB BANK — CONCENTRATION SCORECARD, ASAR 2083                       ║
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣
║                                                                      ║
║  FUNDING CONCENTRATION (borrowings)                 NOT A RISK        ║
║    All borrowings with ≤10 lenders — but borrowings are only         ║
║    0.61% of deposits. The bank is deposit-funded, not                ║
║    wholesale-funded. Structural strength.                            ║
║                                                                      ║
║  DEPOSIT CONCENTRATION                            ! MODERATE, IMPROVING║
║    Top 20 = 21.80% of deposits (NPR 69.33bn), down from 23.32%.      ║
║    Liquid assets cover them 1.32× — adequate, not generous.          ║
║    ALL of the year's 13.1% deposit growth came from a broader        ║
║    base. Direction of travel is clearly positive.                    ║
║                                                                      ║
║  CREDIT CONCENTRATION                             ! THE REAL ISSUE    ║
║    Top 20 borrower GROUPS = 18.03% of loans (NPR 48.31bn),           ║
║    UP from 17.73%.                                                   ║
║    That is 1.27× the bank's ENTIRE EQUITY.                           ║
║    A 50% loss on those groups would consume 64% of capital.          ║
║    Rising — in a year when NPL rose from 4.11% to 4.91%.             ║
║    Consistent with Corporate assets +14.5% at a yield 165bp lower.   ║
║                                                                      ║
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣
║  THE SYNTHESIS                                                       ║
║  The bank's FUNDING is getting safer — broader deposits, less        ║
║  wholesale reliance. Its LENDING is getting more concentrated,       ║
║  at lower yields, with rising NPL.                                   ║
║                                                                      ║
║  Funding risk down. Credit risk up. That is the trade this           ║
║  bank made in FY2082/83.                                             ║
╚══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝

Part 11 — Revision table

TermMeaningNMB disclosureKey issue
Dividends paid (aggregate or per share)Distributions in the period5% cash + 5% stockDistribution slightly **exceeded** distributable profit
Cash dividend / Stock dividendThe two formsNPR 918,335k eachCash drains capital; stock grows paid-up capital [R]
Issues, repurchases and repaymentsCapital markets activityPNCPS NPR 3bn issuedFixed total capital, not CET1 — AT1 route now largely used
Fully subscribed, allotted and capitalizedThree issue milestonesMagh 04, 2082The **capitalisation date** time-apportions the PNCPS dividend
Events after interim periodNAS 10 post-balance-sheet eventsNoneAdjusting vs non-adjusting; a proposed dividend is non-adjusting
Effect of changes in compositionGroup structure changesNoneConfirmed by four separate nil lines
Merger and acquisitionNRB-driven consolidationNoneFormat machinery retained from Nepal's merger era
**Exposure Concentration**Dependence on few counterpartiesThree dimensions**Invisible in every other ratio**
Concentration of BorrowingsWholesale funding dependence0.61% of depositsImmaterial — deposit-funded is a strength
Borrowings from 10 largest lendersAbsolute wholesale figureNPR 1.93bnTies exactly to the balance sheet; largely DFI
Concentration of Credit exposuresLarge-borrower dependence**18.03%**, up from 17.73%**Use the GROUP measure** — 2.78× the individual one
Total exposure to twenty largest borrowersAbsolute credit figure**NPR 48.31bn****1.27× total equity**; 50% LGD would consume 64% of capital
Concentration of DepositsLarge-depositor dependence21.80%, **down** from 23.32%Liquid assets cover top 20 only **1.32×**
Total Deposits from twenty largest depositorsAbsolute deposit figureNPR 69.33bn, fallingAll deposit growth came from a **broader base**

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