Chapter 8 · Risk, portfolio and taxes
Position sizing
The single decision that determines whether you survive being wrong.
You will be wrong regularly. Everyone is. What separates people who continue from people who stop is not accuracy — it is how much they lost on the occasions they were wrong.
The arithmetic nobody wants to look at
| If you lose | You need this gain to get back to even |
|---|---|
| 10% | 11% |
| 25% | 33% |
| 50% | 100% |
| 75% | 300% |
Losses and gains are not symmetric. This is why capping the size of any single loss matters more than picking well.
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