Chapter 6 · Fundamental analysis
Reading a hydropower company
A different business entirely: long build, fixed price, and the river decides the revenue.
Hydropower is NEPSE's other large sector and it works nothing like a bank. A project takes years to build, costs a great deal up front, and then produces revenue for decades.
What to look at
- Is it generating yet? A company still building has costs and no revenue. Its accounts look bad and that may be normal.
- Installed capacity and actual generation. Capacity is the maximum; generation is what the river delivered.
- Seasonality. Flow varies enormously between wet and dry season, so quarters are not comparable to each other — compare a quarter to the same quarter last year.
- The power purchase agreement. Who buys the electricity, at what price, for how long. This is the revenue line.
- Debt. Construction is debt-funded. Interest cost against generating capacity is the key ratio.
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